Fueling Intelligence Special Edition- Iran Conflict: Hormuz Disruption Risk, Refined Products, Freight + War-Risk, Regional (PADD) Divergence, U.S. Refinery Utilization, Policy Actions, and Tail Risk: Direct Attacks

Special Edition: Iran Conflict – Market Update Key Takeaways: Market Impacts: 1) Hormuz disruption risk → global crude risk premium + delivered-cost shock Mechanism: Shipping/insurance constraints will curb Gulf exports and have raised seaborne delivered costs. The direct U.S. impact often comes through higher global benchmarks (Brent) and a wider Brent–WTI spread, which lifts replacement costs for products […]

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January “Fueling Intelligence: Retail Gasoline Prices, 2025 Petroleum Market Recap, Early 2026 Market Action, Venezuela and Oil Exports, OPEC+ Production Targets, and 2026 Retail Forecast”

January Market Update Retail Gasoline Prices Decline for Third Consecutive Year In 2025 U.S. retail gasoline prices averaged $3.10 per gallon in 2025, down $0.21 from 2024, marking the third straight year of declines. The drop was primarily driven by lower crude oil prices caused by oversupply concerns and a weaker global economy early in […]

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April “Fueling Intelligence: a Bearish Market, the Executive Order, and Indicators to Watch”

 April Market Update Summary • Current Market• Tariffs and Volatility• Implications• Indicators Current Market Review Crude oil prices are a big factor here. Recent tariffs and retaliatory measures by the US and China are expected to slow global economic growth and reduce oil demand growth. This could lead to lower crude oil prices, which in turn […]

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March “Fueling Intelligence: The Impact of Closures, Tariffs, and Degree Day Fluctuations”

 March Market Update Summary • Refinery Closures• Impact of Tariffs• Heating Degree Days• The Transition to Summer Grade Gasoline  Domestic Refining Capacity and Demand  This year, two United States refineries are scheduled to cease operations. The Houston-based LyondellBasell refinery has already initiated its shutdown process, reducing the nation’s refining capacity by 264,000 barrels per day. Additionally, […]

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February “Fueling Intelligence: U.S. and International Relations”

 February Market Update Summary • Tariffs, Feedstock Alternative, and Canadian Crude • OPEC Update  • Presidential Priorities, Ethanol, and RVP  Tariffs, Substitution, and Canadian Crude The new presidential administration is shaking up the normal routine for oil refiners in the Midwest, as President Trump plans to institute tariffs on Canadian crude coming into the nation. These tariffs […]

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January “Fueling Intelligence: 2024 in Review”

Market Update – 2024 Review Summary • 2024 Market Overview• Geopolitical risk• Refinery Operations• OPEC Production  2024 Market Overview In 2024, U.S. retail gasoline prices averaged about 20 cents less than in 2023.  The U.S. retail price for regular grade gasoline averaged $3.30 per gallon (gal) in 2024, $0.21/gal less than in 2023. Lower crude oil […]

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December “Fueling Intelligence: The Ups and Downs of the Market and Production”

December Market Update Summary • Regional Supply Dynamics • OPEC Production Decision  • Degree Days  • Refinery Operations  Market Indicators  The U.S. domestic diesel market saw a continued decline in retail prices, averaging $3.59 per gallon, while inventories slightly increased to 219.7 million barrels. Diesel demand remained relatively weak at around 3.74 million barrels per day, […]

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